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Today’s Utah Mortgage Interest Rates
30 Yr Conventional Fixed
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Rates as of July 15, 2026 See Rate Assumptions

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates in Utah

As of July 16, 2026, the rates in Utah are 6.125% (6.257% APR) for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage and 5.75% (5.75% APR) for a 15-year fixed-rate loan.

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City Creek Mortgage Rate History

Explore the graph below to follow the history of City Creek Mortgage rates from May 2020 to July 16, 2026. You can interact with the time frame options to observe mortgage rates over selected periods. This visualization tool is crafted to clearly show the increases and decreases in City Creek Mortgage rates throughout the given timeline.


July 13, 2026

1️⃣  Mortgage Rates Are Fighting a New Enemy: The 30-Year Bond

One of the biggest stories in the bond market isn’t receiving much attention. The inflation-adjusted (real) yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury has climbed to levels not seen since the financial crisis. That matters because higher real yields mean investors are demanding significantly more compensation to lend money for the long term. When investors insist on higher returns, mortgage-backed securities must compete, placing upward pressure on mortgage rates.

This isn’t simply a Federal Reserve story anymore. It’s also a supply and demand story. With Washington continuing to issue record amounts of debt, investors are becoming increasingly selective about the yield they require before committing their money. Until long-term bond investors regain confidence, meaningful improvements in mortgage rates will likely remain difficult.

2️⃣  The Market Is No Longer Betting on Rate Cuts

Just a few months ago, most investors expected multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts during 2026. Today, that narrative has changed dramatically. Kalshi prediction markets are now assigning roughly a 54% probability that the Fed’s next move this year will actually be another rate increase. Further, that probability is continuing to climb higher as tensions in Iran continue to escalate. That’s an extraordinary shift in expectations from pre-war levels.

Persistent inflation, resilient employment, elevated energy prices, and concerns surrounding federal deficit spending have forced markets to reconsider whether the inflation battle has truly been won. This is an important reminder that mortgage rates don’t simply react to today’s economic data. They respond to where investors believe inflation and Fed policy are headed over the next several years.

3️⃣  A Technical Inflation Change Could Give Chairman Warsh Some Breathing Room

Later this month, the Federal Reserve will begin receiving inflation data calculated under an updated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) methodology. The revisions are expected to modestly reduce reported inflation readings without changing the underlying economy. While the adjustment won’t immediately lower mortgage rates, it could help Chairman Kevin Warsh demonstrate additional progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation objective.

Markets are likely to welcome softer inflation numbers, but investors will also want proof that inflation is genuinely cooling rather than simply benefiting from statistical changes. The bond market has become much more skeptical over the past year, and earning back its confidence will take more than one favorable report.

💡Rates & Market Outlook

Bottom Line:

President Trump has now stated that the Memorandum of Understanding with Iran is no longer in place, bringing renewed concerns that tensions in the Middle East could escalate again. Any disruption to global energy supplies has the potential to push oil prices higher, adding fresh inflation pressure at a time when markets are already worried about rapidly growing federal debt and heavy Treasury issuance. Those two forces continue to work against lower mortgage rates. Until we see convincing evidence that inflation is moving lower and geopolitical risks are subsiding, we will maintain our locking bias.

Programs and Resources For Utah’s First-Time Buyers

Utah has several programs and resources to help first-time homebuyers become homeowners.

The Top 5 Hottest Markets Within Utah

1. Salt Lake City

In 2022, the hottest market within Utah was clearly Salt Lake City. Salt Lake City’s population has been steadily increasing over the past few years, with many people moving to the area from other states. In fact, Utah has been the fastest growing state in the past 10 years, with an urban population increasing by 17% compared to the national average of 6.4%.

Utah’s population increased 9% over the last five years, much of it concentrated in Salt Lake City. This has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. Additional factors that make Salt Lake City a hot real estate market include:

 

2. St. George

Saint George, Utah is expected to see one of the fastest growing populations in the country. The population of the St. George metro area is expected to grow from 195,200 in 2022 to 425,700 in 2060, which is an astounding 118.1% projected population growth. This, of course, has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. In January 2023, the median price for a house in St. George was $524,900 or $285/sq ft. In November of 2022, the median price for a house was $387,500.

Strong Job Market: Over the same period of 2022 to 2060, employment in St. George is projected to grow by 113.2%. Personal income per capita is projected to grow from $46,956 in 2022 to $275,955 in 2060. This dramatic increase of population, jobs, and income will result in limited housing and increasing housing prices.

 

3. Provo

Like Salt Lake City, Provo’s population has been steadily increasing. The population is 840,000, which is a 2.69% increase from 2022. In 2019, the city’s population was 766,000. This growth has, in turn, created a high demand for housing, driving up housing and rent prices.

As of January 2023, Provo’s hot market has cooled off considerably, though rents are still climbing. Still, its strong job market and population increase make it a city in demand.

 

4. Ogden

Ogden, Utah is a “picture-perfect postcard town.” Add highly rated schools and a low unemployment rate, and it’s understandable why the city has become a desirable place to live. Although the housing market in Ogden isn’t as hot as Salt Lake City or Provo, it still holds a lot of promise.

 

5. Draper

Draper is a suburban city located about 20 minutes south of Salt Lake City. It has a diverse real estate market with a range of properties at varying price points.

Overall, the demand for homes in Draper has tapered off, and the city has now switched to a buyer’s market. Still, the price of homes has been steadily increasing by 10.3% year-over-year.

 

The Mortgage Market in Utah: Now and in the Future
View of Salt Lake City Utah Suburban Real Estate

The frenzied home-buying trend is finally starting to cool, but there still aren’t enough single-family homes to meet the rising housing demand.

By 2065, Utah’s population will reach 6.8 million, which is nearly double its current population. This increase in population can have a significant impact on its real estate market. Here are a few potential implications:

Increase in demand: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for housing is likely to increase. This can lead to higher prices for homes, particularly in areas where there is limited inventory. Utah’s median home price has surpassed the $500,000 mark. In January 2019, the median home price was just below $300,000.

Tighter inventory: As more people move to Utah, the supply of homes may not be able to keep up with the demand. This can result in a tighter inventory and make it more challenging for buyers to find a home that meets their needs. In 2021, there was a deficit of 5,500 units in Salt Lake County.

New construction: The increase in demand for housing can lead to more new construction in Utah. Developers may see an opportunity to build new homes, condos, and apartments to meet the growing demand. However, this can also lead to increased competition among builders, and potential issues with overbuilding in certain areas.

Rising rents and mortgages: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for rental properties may also increase. This can lead to higher rental rates for both apartments and houses. The median salary needed to purchase a home will increase as well. Already, Utah has seen a large jump. In 2015, a salary of $70,000 was needed for a median-priced home in Salt Lake County. That figure jumped to $97,000 by the year 2020.Economic growth: The increase in population can also lead to economic growth in Utah. In fact, right now, Utah boasts the nation’s strongest pace of job growth. More people means more jobs, more businesses, and more economic activity. This can create a positive feedback loop where a growing population drives economic growth, which in turn attracts even more people to the area.

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