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Today’s Utah Mortgage Interest Rates
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Rates as of October 21, 2024 See Rate Assumptions

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates in Utah

As of October 21, 2024, the rates in Utah are 6.375% (6.503% APR) for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage and 5.5% (5.5% APR) for a 15-year fixed-rate loan.

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City Creek Mortgage Rate History

Explore the graph below to follow the history of City Creek Mortgage rates from May 2020 to October 21, 2024. You can interact with the time frame options to observe mortgage rates over selected periods. This visualization tool is crafted to clearly show the increases and decreases in City Creek Mortgage rates throughout the given timeline.


Mike Roberts Mortgage Rate Commentary: Oct 21, 2024

This update was written by Mike Roberts without the assistance of AI. Mike Roberts serves as the President and Co-Owner of City Creek Mortgage, bringing over 20 years of experience as a mortgage professional.

After some improvement early last week, mortgage rates took a sharp turn higher. We’re currently at a critical juncture in the market. If rates don’t bounce back soon, we could see a more substantial rise in the short term. While the odds currently favor an improvement, the risk of floating remains high. Proceed with caution, and feel free to reach out if you need more guidance.

Retail Sales Show Resilient Consumer Spending 🛍️💪

Last week’s Retail Sales report revealed a 0.4% increase from the previous month, signaling that consumers continue to spend. Despite reports of struggling American families, economic indicators from September suggest otherwise. The month showed strong metrics in spending, earnings, and labor growth. With incomes now rising faster than inflation—which is near the Fed’s 2% target—many Americans appear to be doing well, at least on paper.

Rent and Housing Affordability Trends 🏠📉

Data from Core Logic indicates that rents are growing at a moderate pace of 2.4%, which is manageable. Meanwhile, incomes have increased at a faster rate, making rental housing more affordable for non-homeowners. For those who already own homes, many have locked in mortgage rates at 4% or lower, significantly lowering their house payment-to-income ratio. This translates to more disposable income for activities like vacations, dining out, and other leisure pursuits. Although high home prices and elevated mortgage rates make it tough for first-time and move-up buyers, a large portion of homeowners have minimal concerns about housing costs.

Impact of Recent Fed Rate Cut on Mortgage Rates 📉🔍

What has happened to mortgage rates since the Fed’s first rate cut in nearly five years? The short answer is that the rate cut had already been priced into mortgage rates before it even happened. Since then, strong economic data has raised doubts about whether the Fed will continue cutting rates as planned. The labor market is a key area of concern—unless the unemployment rate moves higher, we may see a floor for national mortgage rates around 5.75%, with City Creek rates potentially dropping to 5.375%. While rising unemployment isn’t ideal, it could provide relief for the mortgage and real estate sectors by bringing rates lower.

Programs and Resources For Utah’s First-Time Buyers

Utah has several programs and resources to help first-time homebuyers become homeowners.

The Top 5 Hottest Markets Within Utah

1. Salt Lake City

Graph of the median sale price in Salt Lake City, UT
In 2022, the hottest market within Utah was clearly Salt Lake City. Salt Lake City’s population has been steadily increasing over the past few years, with many people moving to the area from other states. In fact, Utah has been the fastest growing state in the past 10 years, with an urban population increasing by 17% compared to the national average of 6.4%.

Utah’s population increased 9% over the last five years, much of it concentrated in Salt Lake City. This has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. Additional factors that make Salt Lake City a hot real estate market include:

 

2. St. George

Graph of the median sale price in St. George, UT

Saint George, Utah is expected to see one of the fastest growing populations in the country. The population of the St. George metro area is expected to grow from 195,200 in 2022 to 425,700 in 2060, which is an astounding 118.1% projected population growth. This, of course, has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. In January 2023, the median price for a house in St. George was $524,900 or $285/sq ft. In November of 2022, the median price for a house was $387,500.

Strong Job Market: Over the same period of 2022 to 2060, employment in St. George is projected to grow by 113.2%. Personal income per capita is projected to grow from $46,956 in 2022 to $275,955 in 2060. This dramatic increase of population, jobs, and income will result in limited housing and increasing housing prices.

 

3. Provo

Graph of the median sale price in Provo, UT

Like Salt Lake City, Provo’s population has been steadily increasing. The population is 840,000, which is a 2.69% increase from 2022. In 2019, the city’s population was 766,000. This growth has, in turn, created a high demand for housing, driving up housing and rent prices.

As of January 2023, Provo’s hot market has cooled off considerably, though rents are still climbing. Still, its strong job market and population increase make it a city in demand.

 

4. Ogden

Graph of the median sale price in Ogden, UT

Ogden, Utah is a “picture-perfect postcard town.” Add highly rated schools and a low unemployment rate, and it’s understandable why the city has become a desirable place to live. Although the housing market in Ogden isn’t as hot as Salt Lake City or Provo, it still holds a lot of promise.

 

5. Draper

Graph of the median sale price in Draper, UT
Draper is a suburban city located about 20 minutes south of Salt Lake City. It has a diverse real estate market with a range of properties at varying price points.

Overall, the demand for homes in Draper has tapered off, and the city has now switched to a buyer’s market. Still, the price of homes has been steadily increasing by 10.3% year-over-year.

 

The Mortgage Market in Utah: Now and in the Future
View of Salt Lake City Utah Suburban Real Estate

The frenzied home-buying trend is finally starting to cool, but there still aren’t enough single-family homes to meet the rising housing demand.

By 2065, Utah’s population will reach 6.8 million, which is nearly double its current population. This increase in population can have a significant impact on its real estate market. Here are a few potential implications:

Increase in demand: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for housing is likely to increase. This can lead to higher prices for homes, particularly in areas where there is limited inventory. Utah’s median home price has surpassed the $500,000 mark. In January 2019, the median home price was just below $300,000.

Tighter inventory: As more people move to Utah, the supply of homes may not be able to keep up with the demand. This can result in a tighter inventory and make it more challenging for buyers to find a home that meets their needs. In 2021, there was a deficit of 5,500 units in Salt Lake County.

New construction: The increase in demand for housing can lead to more new construction in Utah. Developers may see an opportunity to build new homes, condos, and apartments to meet the growing demand. However, this can also lead to increased competition among builders, and potential issues with overbuilding in certain areas.

Rising rents and mortgages: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for rental properties may also increase. This can lead to higher rental rates for both apartments and houses. The median salary needed to purchase a home will increase as well. Already, Utah has seen a large jump. In 2015, a salary of $70,000 was needed for a median-priced home in Salt Lake County. That figure jumped to $97,000 by the year 2020.Economic growth: The increase in population can also lead to economic growth in Utah. In fact, right now, Utah boasts the nation’s strongest pace of job growth. More people means more jobs, more businesses, and more economic activity. This can create a positive feedback loop where a growing population drives economic growth, which in turn attracts even more people to the area.

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