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Today’s Utah Mortgage Interest Rates
30 Yr Conventional Fixed
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Rates as of March 5, 2026 See Rate Assumptions

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates in Utah

As of March 6, 2026, the rates in Utah are 5.625% (5.745% APR) for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage and 5.25% (5.25% APR) for a 15-year fixed-rate loan.

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City Creek Mortgage Rate History

Explore the graph below to follow the history of City Creek Mortgage rates from May 2020 to March 6, 2026. You can interact with the time frame options to observe mortgage rates over selected periods. This visualization tool is crafted to clearly show the increases and decreases in City Creek Mortgage rates throughout the given timeline.


March 2, 2026

1️⃣ Geopolitical Tension and Oil Market Volatility

The recent attack on Iran has immediately raised concerns about global energy supply and economic stability. Iran remains one of the world’s largest oil producers within OPEC, exporting roughly 2 to 3 million barrels per day. Any disruption to that supply, or even the threat of disruption through the Strait of Hormuz where nearly one fifth of global oil flows, has the potential to push crude prices higher. Markets tend to react quickly to uncertainty in the Middle East, and we have already seen increased volatility in oil futures as traders assess the risk of escalation.

Higher oil prices ripple through the broader economy. Energy costs affect transportation, manufacturing, and ultimately consumer prices. If crude sustains a meaningful move higher, it can add upward pressure to inflation at a time when the Federal Reserve is still trying to keep price growth under control. For mortgage rates, this creates a tricky environment. Geopolitical risk can drive investors toward the safety of U.S. Treasury bonds, which typically helps rates.

However, if oil driven inflation expectations rise, that can offset some of the benefit. The net effect will depend on whether markets focus more on economic slowdown risk or renewed inflation pressure.

2️⃣ Tariffs, Tax Policy and the Broader Economic Impact

The administration is currently engaged in a legal fight related to tariff refund delays, while also floating the idea that tariffs could substantially replace income taxes. That is a significant policy discussion with real economic implications, including the near term direction of mortgage interest rates. Tariffs function as a tax on imported goods, and while they may generate federal revenue, they are ultimately paid by businesses and consumers in the form of higher prices. Policy experts have pointed out that replacing a broad based income tax with tariffs would likely require extremely high import taxes, which could drive up consumer costs and invite retaliation from trading partners. 

From a housing and mortgage perspective, trade policy matters. Tariffs can increase the cost of building materials such as lumber, steel, and appliances. That feeds directly into home prices and construction costs. In addition, aggressive trade measures can slow global growth, disrupt supply chains, and create financial market volatility. Bond markets tend to respond quickly to any policy that could alter inflation expectations or economic growth trajectories.

If tariffs contribute to higher prices, that may keep inflation stubborn and limit how much mortgage rates can fall. On the other hand, if trade tensions dampen economic activity, that could eventually create downward pressure on rates. As always, policy uncertainty translates into market volatility.

3️⃣ Wholesale Inflation Surges Above Expectations

Core wholesale prices rose a whopping 0.8% in January, well above forecasts. On a year over year basis, producer level inflation is running hotter than many economists anticipated. The Producer Price Index is an important leading indicator because it reflects the costs businesses face before those costs are passed on to consumers. When wholesale prices accelerate, there is a risk that consumer inflation will follow. 

This stronger than expected reading complicates the Federal Reserve’s path forward. After several rate cuts over the past year, markets were hopeful that inflation was steadily trending back toward the Fed’s 2% target. A sharp increase in core producer prices suggests that price pressures may not be fully contained. For mortgage rates, inflation data is critical. Bond investors demand higher yields when inflation risks rise, which pushes mortgage rates higher. If upcoming consumer inflation reports confirm what we are seeing at the wholesale level, it could reduce the likelihood of near term rate cuts and keep mortgage rates elevated for longer than many had hoped.

💡Rates & Market Outlook

Bottom Line:

As we move into March, markets will be closely watching developments in the Middle East, trade policy discussions in Washington, and incoming inflation data. Each of these factors has the potential to influence the direction of mortgage rates in the weeks ahead.

In the meantime, mortgage rates are on the rise. We will begin the week with a locking bias but holding onto hope that markets will stabilize quickly. 

Programs and Resources For Utah’s First-Time Buyers

Utah has several programs and resources to help first-time homebuyers become homeowners.

The Top 5 Hottest Markets Within Utah

1. Salt Lake City

In 2022, the hottest market within Utah was clearly Salt Lake City. Salt Lake City’s population has been steadily increasing over the past few years, with many people moving to the area from other states. In fact, Utah has been the fastest growing state in the past 10 years, with an urban population increasing by 17% compared to the national average of 6.4%.

Utah’s population increased 9% over the last five years, much of it concentrated in Salt Lake City. This has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. Additional factors that make Salt Lake City a hot real estate market include:

 

2. St. George

Saint George, Utah is expected to see one of the fastest growing populations in the country. The population of the St. George metro area is expected to grow from 195,200 in 2022 to 425,700 in 2060, which is an astounding 118.1% projected population growth. This, of course, has created a high demand for housing, which has driven up prices. In January 2023, the median price for a house in St. George was $524,900 or $285/sq ft. In November of 2022, the median price for a house was $387,500.

Strong Job Market: Over the same period of 2022 to 2060, employment in St. George is projected to grow by 113.2%. Personal income per capita is projected to grow from $46,956 in 2022 to $275,955 in 2060. This dramatic increase of population, jobs, and income will result in limited housing and increasing housing prices.

 

3. Provo

Like Salt Lake City, Provo’s population has been steadily increasing. The population is 840,000, which is a 2.69% increase from 2022. In 2019, the city’s population was 766,000. This growth has, in turn, created a high demand for housing, driving up housing and rent prices.

As of January 2023, Provo’s hot market has cooled off considerably, though rents are still climbing. Still, its strong job market and population increase make it a city in demand.

 

4. Ogden

Ogden, Utah is a “picture-perfect postcard town.” Add highly rated schools and a low unemployment rate, and it’s understandable why the city has become a desirable place to live. Although the housing market in Ogden isn’t as hot as Salt Lake City or Provo, it still holds a lot of promise.

 

5. Draper

Draper is a suburban city located about 20 minutes south of Salt Lake City. It has a diverse real estate market with a range of properties at varying price points.

Overall, the demand for homes in Draper has tapered off, and the city has now switched to a buyer’s market. Still, the price of homes has been steadily increasing by 10.3% year-over-year.

 

The Mortgage Market in Utah: Now and in the Future
View of Salt Lake City Utah Suburban Real Estate

The frenzied home-buying trend is finally starting to cool, but there still aren’t enough single-family homes to meet the rising housing demand.

By 2065, Utah’s population will reach 6.8 million, which is nearly double its current population. This increase in population can have a significant impact on its real estate market. Here are a few potential implications:

Increase in demand: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for housing is likely to increase. This can lead to higher prices for homes, particularly in areas where there is limited inventory. Utah’s median home price has surpassed the $500,000 mark. In January 2019, the median home price was just below $300,000.

Tighter inventory: As more people move to Utah, the supply of homes may not be able to keep up with the demand. This can result in a tighter inventory and make it more challenging for buyers to find a home that meets their needs. In 2021, there was a deficit of 5,500 units in Salt Lake County.

New construction: The increase in demand for housing can lead to more new construction in Utah. Developers may see an opportunity to build new homes, condos, and apartments to meet the growing demand. However, this can also lead to increased competition among builders, and potential issues with overbuilding in certain areas.

Rising rents and mortgages: With more people moving to Utah, the demand for rental properties may also increase. This can lead to higher rental rates for both apartments and houses. The median salary needed to purchase a home will increase as well. Already, Utah has seen a large jump. In 2015, a salary of $70,000 was needed for a median-priced home in Salt Lake County. That figure jumped to $97,000 by the year 2020.Economic growth: The increase in population can also lead to economic growth in Utah. In fact, right now, Utah boasts the nation’s strongest pace of job growth. More people means more jobs, more businesses, and more economic activity. This can create a positive feedback loop where a growing population drives economic growth, which in turn attracts even more people to the area.

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